中国降碳减污扩绿增长耦合协调的时空演化及组态提升路径
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X-01

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湖南省自然科学基金资助面上项目(2025JJ50469);长沙市自然科学基金资助项目(kq2402104)


Spatiotemporal Evolution and Configuration Improvement Strategy of the Coupling Coordination Between Carbon Reduction, Pollution Control, Greenery Expansion and Economic Growth in China
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    摘要:

    从“降碳减污”和“扩绿增长”维度构建我国降碳减污扩绿增长耦合协调度测算指标体系,运用耦合协调度模型对2014—2023年中国273个地级市的降碳减污扩绿增长耦合协调度进行测算,在此基础上考察其时空演化规律,并使用fsQCA方法探析其提升路径。研究结果表明:从样本期间的全国整体水平来看,我国降碳减污扩绿增长整体碳耦合协调度呈现稳定上升趋势;八大综合经济区各地区降碳减污扩绿增长耦合协调度呈现同向收敛,全国降碳减污耦合协调度水平的区域差异来源以各地区区域间差异为主,差异水平具有较强的空间性特征。在各空间水平下,不同水平层级的地区基本保持原层级水平并向高层级转移的特征;由人口密度、能源效率和环境规制水平等主导因素组成的3条不同路径是协同推进降碳减污扩绿增长的有效提升路径。

    Abstract:

    Based on the construction of a measurement index system for the coupling coordination of the perspective of “carbon reduction and pollution control” and “greenery expansion”, by using the coupling coordination model to calculate the coupling coordination of carbon reduction, pollution control, and greenery expansion in 273 prefecture level cities in China from 2014 to 2023, followed by an inquiry into the spatiotemporal evolution pattern, as well as an exploration of its improvement strategy with fsQCA method adopted. The research results indicate that, from the perspective of the overall national level during the sample period China’s overall carbon reduction, pollution control, greening and economic growth coupling coordination shows a stable upward trend; the eight major comprehensive economic zones. the coupling coordination degree of carbon reduction, pollution control, and greenery expansion in each region converges in the same direction. The regional differences in the coupling coordination degree of carbon reduction and pollution control in China are mainly due to regional discrepancies, with the differences characterized with strong spatial features. As for each spatial level, regions at different levels generally maintain their original hierarchical level and transition to higher levels. Effective ways to collaborate the promotion of carbon reduction, pollution control, carbonreduction, pollutioncontrol, greeningand economic growthinclude the three different strategies composed of such dominant factors as population density, energy efficiency, and environmental regulation level.

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刘亦文,李桢枭.中国降碳减污扩绿增长耦合协调的时空演化及组态提升路径[J].湖南工业大学学报,2026,40(2):53-63.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-01-05
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