Based on the STIRPAT extended model and various energy consumption data of Guangxi from 2000 to 2020, energy consumption carbon emissions in Guangxi can be calculated by using the IPCC inventory method, followed by a quantitative analysis of the relationship between energy consumption carbon emissions in Guangxi and its urbanization level, energy consumption structure, economic development level, industrial structure, degree of openness, population density, total highway mileage, environmental regulation input, and domestic and foreign tourist numbers. Based on a ridge regression fitting simulation, it is found that for every 1% increase in these influencing factors, energy consumption carbon emissions in Guangxi will correspondingly increase by 0.486%, -0.035%, 0.134%, 0.242%, -0.005%, 0.001%, 0.265%, 0.058% and 0.09% respectively.