基于TOPSIS和灰色关联投影法的区域碳效率 动态综合评价——以泛珠三角为例
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国家社科基金资助项目(20BJY093); 湖南省教育厅科学研究基金资助重点项目(21A0348)


Dynamic Comprehensive Evaluation of Regional Carbon Efficiency Based on TOPSIS and Grey Correlation Projection Method: A Case Study of the Pan Pearl River Delta
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    摘要:

    为弥补传统碳效率评价偏向绝对量指标或者少数几个指标的单点式评价的不足,选取相对量指标,从经济、人口、福利多个维度并兼顾地区发展实际与公平原则,构建区域碳效率评价指标体系。将TOPSIS法与灰色关联投影分析相结合,并利用时间序列平均算子二次加权以实现对泛珠三角9省(自治区)2011—2020年碳效率的动态综合评价。静态与动态评价研究结果显示:该区域碳效率发展水平存在差异,其中海南省碳效率总体水平较高,为0.530;贵州省碳效率相对较低,为0.162;海南省比贵州省高出227%。福建省碳效率呈上升趋势,由2011年的0.327上升至2020年的0.498,增长了52.3%。研究认为,应该制定差异化减排策略、加大技术经费投入、增强社会福利、引进人才以实现低碳经济发展。

    Abstract:

    In view of a compensation for the shortcomings of traditional carbon efficiency evaluation that tends to be based on absolute quantity indicators or a few single point evaluation indicators, relative quantity indicators are selected, with a regional carbon efficiency evaluation index system to be constructed from such multiple dimensions as economy, population, and welfare, taking into account regional development reality and fairness principles. Based on a combination of TOPSIS method with grey relational projection analysis, a dynamic comprehensive evaluation can be achieved of the carbon efficiency in 9 provinces (autonomous regions) of the Pan Pearl River Delta from 2011 to 2020 by utilizing time series average operator quadratic weighting. The results of static and dynamic evaluation research show that there are differences in the development level of carbon efficiency in the region. The overall level of carbon efficiency in Hainan Province is relatively high at 0.530, while the carbon efficiency in Guizhou Province is relatively low at 0.162. Hainan Province is 227% higher than Guizhou Province, with the carbon efficiency in Fujian Province on the rise, increasing by 52.3% from 0.327 in 2011 to 0.498 in 2020. It is therefore suggested that differentiated emission reduction strategies should be formulated, technology funding should be increased, social welfare should be enhanced, and talent introduction should be facilitated to achieve a low-carbon economic development..

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何燕子,王 妍.基于TOPSIS和灰色关联投影法的区域碳效率 动态综合评价——以泛珠三角为例[J].湖南工业大学学报,2023,37(6):61-68.

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  • 收稿日期:2022-11-25
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  • 在线发布日期: 2023-12-08
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