经济政策不确定性、多元化程度与企业风险承担
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F272.3;F273.1

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湖南省社会科学成果评审委员会基金项目“高质量发展视角下湖南生物医药产业创新韧性的测度与提升研究”(XSP2023JJC022)


Economic Policy Uncertainty, Degree of Corporate Diversification, and Corporate Risk-Taking
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    摘要:

    以2003—2023年沪深A股上市企业为研究样本构建面板数据模型,实证考察经济政策不确定性对企业风险承担的影响以及多元化程度的调节作用。结果表明,经济政策不确定性的上升显著抑制了企业风险承担水平,且这一影响在小规模、低成长性企业中表现更为显著;企业多元化程度的提高能够有效缓解经济政策不确定性对企业风险承担的负面影响,尤其是收入结构的多元化表现出更为显著的调节作用。基于此,建议政府着力提升经济政策的稳定性与透明度,以减轻经济政策不确定性对企业经营的负面影响;企业也应积极优化多元化战略,提高对外部环境波动的适应能力。

    Abstract:

    Using listed companies in the Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share markets from 2003 to 2023, this study constructs a panel data model to empirically examine the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on corporate risk-taking, as well as the moderating effect of corporate diversification. The results show that an increase in economic policy uncertainty significantly suppresses corporate risk-taking. This effect is more pronounced in small-scale and low-growth companies. Further analysis reveals that a higher degree of corporate diversification can effectively mitigate the adverse impact of economic policy uncertainty on risk-taking, especially through the diversification of revenue structure, which exhibits a more significant moderating effect. Based on these findings, it is recommended that the government enhance the stability and transparency of economic policies to reduce the negative impact of policy uncertainty on business operations, while enterprises should proactively optimize their diversification strategies to improve adaptability to external environmental fluctuations.

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范晓阳,庞梦妮,范定祥.经济政策不确定性、多元化程度与企业风险承担[J].《湖南工业大学学报(社会科学版)》,2025,30(3):74-83.

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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-06-06
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