房价收入比对育龄人群生育意愿的影响
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:


The Effect of Housing Price to Income Ratio on Fertility Intention of Couples at the Childbearing Age
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    基于2013—2018年中国综合社会调查数据(CGSS),研究了房价收入比对育龄人群生育意愿的影响。实证结果表明:在二孩政策背景下,房价收入比显著抑制了育龄人群生育意愿。通过工具变量方法和各类稳健性检验处理内生性问题后,研究结论依然稳健。异质性分析结果表明,房价收入比对未婚、主观幸福感低、租房和拥有一套住房、东部地区育龄人群生育意愿的负面影响更大。此外,房价收入比显著降低了育龄人群生育男孩的偏好。据此,政府应积极调控房地产市场、倡导新时代生育观、健全社会养老保障体系,以提高育龄人群生育意愿,调控出生人口性别比。

    Abstract:

    Based on the data of China General Social Survey (CGSS) from 2013 to 2018, this paper studies the effect of the ratio of housing price to income on the fertility intention of couples at the childbearing age. The empirical study shows that fertility willingness among couples at the childbearing age is greatly stifled by the ratio of housing price to income under the two-child policy. After dealing with the endogeneity problem by means of instrumental variable method and various robustness tests, the results are still robust. Heterogeneous analysis shows that the ratio of housing price to income has more negative impacts on the unmarried, on people with lower well-being, on those renting and owning just one house, and also on people living in eastern China. In addition, the ratio of house price to income significantly reduces people’s willingness to have baby boys. Therefore, the government should actively regulate and control the real estate market, advocate the concept of fertility in the new era, and improve the social pension security system, so as to improve the fertility intention of couples at the childbearing age, and to regulate sex ratio at birth.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

肖国安,周牧原.房价收入比对育龄人群生育意愿的影响[J].《湖南工业大学学报(社会科学版)》,2023,28(2):32-41.

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2023-01-06
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2023-05-17
  • 出版日期:
文章二维码