经济政策不确定性对企业资本结构调整的影响
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国家自然科学基金资助项目“‘去杠杆’与‘稳增长’目标下结构性货币政策的传导机制与疏通路径研究” (71973117);湖南省自然科学基金资助项目“空间异质、产业升级与最优货币政策研究”(2018JJ2101); 湖南省社会科学成果评审委员会基金资助项目“结构性去杠杆研究:理论逻辑与湖南对策”(XSP20YBC041); 湖南省教育厅科学研究项目“新时代中国货币政策调控方式转型研究”(18C0487)


The Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on the Adjustment of Enterprise Capital Structure
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    摘要:

    经济政策不确定性会对企业的融资行为和资本结构带来结构性影响。基于2010—2019年A股上市公司面板数据,研究经济政策不确定性对企业资本结构调整的影响路径。结果发现:经济政策不确定性阻碍企业资本结构向目标值收敛;在控制区域发展水平、经济增速、省份和企业异质性后,以上结论仍然成立。经济政策不确定性主要通过债务增减而非权益变更的渠道影响企业资本结构调整。其中,高于资本结构目标的企业比低于资本结构目标的企业受到的影响更大;样本划分为高中低三组后,经济政策不确定性对中高组的影响更显著。经济政策不确定性虽增加了企业的资本调整成本,但有利于抑制过度投资和优化资本富余企业的资本结构。因而,短期内经济政策调整可实现企业资本结构优化,但长远来看,资本市场化仍是企业资本结构优化的主要方式。

    Abstract:

    The uncertainty of economic policy has a structural impact on the financing behavior and capital structure of enterprises. Based on the panel data of A-share listed companies from 2010 to 2019, this paper studies the impact path of economic policy uncertainty on the adjustment of enterprise capital structure. The results found that the uncertainty of economic policy hinders the convergence of corporate capital structure to the target value, and after controlling the regional development level, economic growth rate, province and corporate heterogeneity, the above conclusions are still valid. The uncertainty of economic policy mainly affects the adjustment of corporate capital structure through the change of the increase equity of debt rather than the decrease. Furthermore, the adjustment of enterprises above the capital structure target is more affected than those below the capital structure target; after the sample is divided into three groups of high, middle and low, the uncertainty of economic policy has a more significant impact on the middle and high groups. Although economic policy instability has increased the cost of capital adjustment for enterprises, it is conducive to restraining over investment and optimizing the capital structure of enterprises with surplus capital. Therefore, the adjustment of economic policies in the short term can optimize the capital structure of enterprises, but in the long run, capital marketization is still the main way to optimize the capital structure of enterprises.

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石华军,赵 薇.经济政策不确定性对企业资本结构调整的影响[J].《湖南工业大学学报(社会科学版)》,2021,26(5):10-19.

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  • 收稿日期:2021-05-31
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  • 在线发布日期: 2021-10-27
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