利率市场化对商业银行经营绩效的影响——基于动态GMM模型的实证分析
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湖南省教育厅科学研究基金资助一般项目“互联网金融发展 对商业银行盈利能力的影响——基于利率市场化视角”(16C1005)


Impact of Interest Rate Liberalization on the Performance of Commercial Banks: An Empirical Analysis Based on Dynamic GMM Model
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    摘要:

    利率市场化改革通过多种渠道影响商业银行的经营绩效,商业 银行为适应利率市场化改革也朝多元化经营方向发展。为探求利率市场 化及商业银行收入结构变化对其经营绩效的影响程度,选取我国2006— 2015年68家商业银行的非平衡面板数据,建立动态面板数据模型进行实 证检验。研究结果表明,利率市场化对商业银行绩效有显著的负面效应 ,且城市商业银行受到的负面冲击最为明显,但商业银行收入结构的改 变对其经营绩效的影响并不明显,风险控制与管理水平是商业银行经营 绩效的重要影响因素。商业银行应推动金融创新,走符合自身的差异化 发展道路,积极拓展除佣金和手续费以外的非利息业务收入,紧密依托 互联网和大数据,以有效提高商业银行的经营绩效。

    Abstract:

    The reform of interest rate liberalization has brought great changes to the performance of commercial banks through various channels. In the meantime, the commercial banks are developing towards diversification in order to adjust themselves to the reform. In order to explore the impact of interest rate liberation and the changes in the income structure of commercial banks on their performance, unbalanced panel data of 68 commercial banks in China from the year 2006 to 2015 have been collected to establish a dynamic panel data model for the empirical test. The research shows that interest rate liberation has a remarkably negative impact on commercial banks' performance, and that on the urban commercial banks is the greatest. Nevertheless, the adjustment of the income structure of the commercial banks has little influence on their performance. Risk control and management level are the two significant influences on the performance of commercial banks. Therefore, it's suggested that the commercial banks should promote financial innovation, follow their own differentiated development path, and actively expand noninterest income besides commissions and fees, and rely on the Internet and large data so as to improve their performance.

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许南,谢新非.利率市场化对商业银行经营绩效的影响——基于动态GMM模型的实证分析[J].《湖南工业大学学报(社会科学版)》,2017,22(3):56-62.

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  • 收稿日期:2017-02-27
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  • 在线发布日期: 2017-09-03
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