新型城镇化、乡村振兴与物流业动态关系研究
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国家社会科学基金资助项目(15BJY117);教育部社会科学基金资助项目(20YJA790043);安徽省高校科研基金资助项目(YJS20210072);中国物流学会基金资助项目(2022CLSKT3-094)


Research on the Dynamic Relationship Among New Urbanization, Rural Revitalization and Logistics Industry
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    摘要:

    探究新型城镇化、乡村振兴与物流业的互动关系,对构建经济发展新格局、促进经济高质量发展具有重要意义。因此,基于中国1998—2021年的时间序列数据,利用VAR构建三元估计模型,通过脉冲响应以及方差分解动态分析三者之间的交互关系。研究发现:新型城镇化、乡村振兴与物流业三者之间并未形成良性互动局面;新型城镇化与乡村振兴建设是促进物流业高质量发展的关键,但物流业无论是对新型城镇化还是乡村振兴的带动效果都不明显;城乡协调一体化是新型城镇化与乡村振兴的内在要求,物流业亟需变革自身发展模式,实现高质量转型,才能发挥其促进城乡融合发展、畅通经济循环的积极作用。

    Abstract:

    It is of great significance to explore the interaction between new urbanization, rural revitalization and logistics industry to build a new development pattern and promote high-quality development. Therefore, based on the time series data of China from 1998 to 2021, a ternary estimation model has thus been constructed by using VAR, followed by a dynamical analysis of the interaction between the three through impulse response and variance decomposition. It is found that a positive interaction has not yet been formed between new urbanization, rural revitalization, and logistics industry. As the key to promoting the high-quality development of the logistics industry, the construction of new urbanization and rural revitalization lacks of a significant driving effect of the logistics industry on both new urbanization and rural revitalization. The coordination and integration of urban and rural areas is an inherent requirement of new urbanization and rural revitalization. The logistics industry urgently needs to change its own development model with a high-quality transformation in order to play its positive role in promoting urban-rural integration development and smooth economic circulation.

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梁 雯,刘缓缓,韩琦璇.新型城镇化、乡村振兴与物流业动态关系研究[J].湖南工业大学学报,2024,38(3):61-69.

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  • 收稿日期:2022-09-08
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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-04-24
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