基于支持向量机和误差修正算法的风电短期功率预测
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

湖南省自然科学基金资助项目(2018JJ4076)


Short-Term Wind Power Prediction Based on SVM and Error Correction Algorithm
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    摘 要:基于风电功率预测单一算法带来的预测精度较低问题,提出一种新型的基于粒子群优化支持向量机结合误差修正算法的短期风电功率预测组合算法。该方法首先对原始数据进行分析和清洗;然后通过粒子群算法对支持向量机参数进行寻优,对风电功率进行一次预测,通过经验模态算法对一次预测进行滤波,达到降噪效果,同时得到一次预测误差;最后,利用误差修正算法对一次预测误差进行修正,得到最终的预测值。仿真和测试结果表明,相较于传统的单一算法,该组合算法能更好地提高预测精度。

    Abstract:

    A new short-term wind power forecast combination algorithm, which is based on particle swarm optimization and support vector machine (SVM), combined with error correction algorithm, has been proposed. Firstly, an analysis and cleaning have been made of the original data; then an optimization can be achieved of the parameters of support vector machine by particle swarm optimization algorithm, followed by a prediction of the wind power. The empirical modal algorithm is used to filter the primary prediction to achieve the effect of noise reduction, thus working out the primary prediction error. Finally, the error correction algorithm is used to correct the one-time prediction error, thus obtaining the final prediction value. The simulation and test results show that the combined algorithm can improve the prediction accuracy better than the traditional single algorithm.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

王建辉,匡洪海,张瀚超,朱国平.基于支持向量机和误差修正算法的风电短期功率预测[J].湖南工业大学学报,2019,33(1):43-49.

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2018-05-16
  • 最后修改日期:
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期: 2019-01-25
  • 出版日期: