湖南省株洲市天元区实现基本现代化时间表研究
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Research on the Timetable About the Realization of the Basic Modernization in Tianyuan District of Zhuzhou City in Hunan Province
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    摘要:

    依据我国现代化建设目标,并通过对全球中等发达国家人均GDP预测与天元区未来人均GDP发展速率预测的动态比较分析及数学模型计算,得出天元区实现基本现代化的“时间表”。研究提出,实现基本现代化的目标是人均GDP达到10个中等发达国家人均GDP平均水平,同时其他相关指标达到中等发达国家相应的水准;天元区将在2022—2027年实现基本现代化,到时人均GDP将达到18万元人民币;如果天元区在“十三五”期间经济社会发展以较高的速率增长,则在2020年有望实现苏南基本现代化经济现代化指标。

    Abstract:

    According to the goal set for China's modernization construction, and based on a preliminary prediction of the GDP per capita of the moderately developed countries in the world, a dynamically comparative analysis and mathematical model calculation has been made for a predication of the future development speed of the per capita GDP in Tianyuan District, thus working out a timetable for the full realization of the basic modernization in this area. The research result suggests that the goal of realizing the basic modernization involves a fulfillment of the average level of a per capita GDP being that of 10 moderately developed countries. And hopefully Tianyuan district will be successful in realizing the basic modernization in 2022—2027, with its GDP reaching 180,000 yuan per capita. With a high rate of growth maintained for the “13th Five-Year” economic and social development, Tianyuan District, by the year 2020, is expected to duplicate the successful realization of the basic economic modernization achieved by Southern Jiangsu.

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魏琳琳,刘建文,戴 燕.湖南省株洲市天元区实现基本现代化时间表研究[J].湖南工业大学学报,2016,30(6):69-74.

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  • 收稿日期:2016-07-31
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  • 在线发布日期: 2017-03-28
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