In order to reflect the impact of different factors on the development of Dragon City commercial circle in Zhuzhou, Hunan Province, the population, the urban resident average disposable income and the cost of housing in the commercial district are included in the main influencing factors in the commercial circle development, and the analytic hierarchy process is used to determine the reasonable housing price of the city. Further by using the regression analysis method and with the 3 factors as variables, predicts the future development of Dragon City commercial circle through the future trend of housing prices. The model of the investment of the Dragon City is verified by Matlab and relative data, and the prediction result is consistent with the actual result, there is a certain commonality.